2021 New York City mayoral election

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2021 New York City mayoral election

← 2017 November 2, 2021 2025 →
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent mayor

Bill de Blasio
Democratic



The 2021 New York City mayoral election will consist of Democratic and Republican primaries on June 22, 2021, followed by a general election on November 2, 2021. The primaries will be the first New York City mayoral election primaries to use ranked-choice (up to five ranks), instant-runoff voting, as opposed to the plurality voting of previous primaries.[1]

Incumbent Mayor of New York City Bill de Blasio is barred from running for a third term by term limits.[2]

Notable candidates include (in alphabetical order by surname): Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams; former director of the US Office of Management and Budget Shaun Donovan; former commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Sanitation Kathryn Garcia; businessman Fernando Mateo; former Citigroup executive Raymond McGuire; former social services nonprofit CEO Dianne Morales; Guardian Angels founder Curtis Sliwa; NYC Comptroller Scott Stringer; former counsel to Bill de Blasio Maya Wiley; and former presidential candidate Andrew Yang. Dozens of other members of the New York City business and political communities also campaigned or are currently campaigning.

By May 2021, thirteen candidates had qualified for the Democratic Party primary and two for the Republican Party primary. There are also minor party and independent campaigns for the general election in November.[3]

Democratic primary[edit]

Background[edit]

In 2019, journalists and political commentators predicted several potential candidates, including Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams, Bronx Borough President Rubén Díaz Jr., NYC Council Speaker Corey Johnson, NYC Comptroller Scott Stringer, and NYC Public Advocate Jumaane Williams.[4][5] By 2021, a number of candidates had declared themselves; most were first-time candidates who had never held political office, rather than sitting elected officials.

Polling in late January and early February showed businessman Andrew Yang as the frontrunner, with Adams in second and Stringer in third place.[6][7] As of January 20, 2021, of the major declared candidates, New York City councilmember Carlos Menchaca and former Commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Veterans' Services Loree Sutton were considered the weakest candidates and most likely to drop out, as both of them posted very poor fundraising numbers.[8] Sutton withdrew from the race on March 10, 2021[9] and Menchaca withdrew on March 24, 2021.[10] By the middle of March, three candidates, Stringer, Dianne Morales, and Maya Wiley, were widely considered to be the chief competitors for the progressive vote.[11]

In April, Stringer, who was generally polling in third-place, was accused of sexual abuse by Jean Kim, who claimed that Stringer had forcibly kissed and groped her when she worked on his 2001 campaign for Public Advocate.[12][13][14] Fellow candidates Morales, Adams, Yang, and Raymond McGuire condemned the acts in the allegation; while candidates Wiley, Kathryn Garcia, and Shaun Donovan called for him to drop out.[15] Stringer denied the allegations, claiming that the relationship had been consensual.[16] In June, a second woman accused him of sexual misconduct in 1992.[17]

In early May, Donovan and McGuire were characterized as being out of touch with everyday New Yorkers for greatly underestimating the median cost of a home in Brooklyn.[18] In late May, Yang, who lives in Hell's Kitchen, faced some ridicule for answering that Times Square was his favorite subway station, as the response was seen as akin to that of a tourist.[19] Later in May, Morales's campaign lost three senior staff members, including the newly hired campaign manager, amid allegations of a poor workplace culture and union-busting.[20] Morales's campaign lost some endorsements and support.[21]

In June, due to ongoing rumors that Eric Adams lived in New Jersey,[22] he invited reporters to Bed-Stuy to tour what he says is his apartment, located in one of the properties he owns. Its décor and contents led to further questions by reporters and rivals about whether he actually resided there.[23]

Four days before the June 22nd Democratic Primary, frontrunners Andrew Yang and Kathryn Garcia cross-endorsed each other for the election, calling on their supporters to put the other candidate as their number 2 choice.[24]

Candidates[edit]

Major candidates[edit]

The following candidates (listed alphabetically) appear on the Democratic primary ballot[25] and have held office, have been included in polls, or have been the subject of significant media coverage.

Democratic primary candidates
Candidate Experience Announced Ref
Borough President Adams (cropped).jpg
Eric Adams
Brooklyn Borough President (2014–present)
Former NY State Senator from the 20th district (2007–2013)
Former NYPD captain
November 17, 2020
Eric Adams for Mayor logo.svg
(Website)
[26][27][28][29]
Shaun Donovan official photo (cropped).jpg
Shaun Donovan
Former Director of the US Office of Management and Budget (2014–2017)
Former US Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2009–2014)
Former Commissioner of the NYC Department of Housing Preservation and Development (2004–2008)
February 3, 2020
Shaun Donovan for Mayor logo.svg
(Website)
[30]
Kathryn Garcia, May 1, 2021 Cropped.jpg
Kathryn Garcia
Former Commissioner of the NYC Department of Sanitation (2014–2020)
Former Interim Chair and CEO of the NYC Housing Authority (2019)
Former Chief Operating Officer of the NYC Department of Environmental Protection (2012–2014)
December 10, 2020
Kathryn Garcia for Mayor logo.png
(Website)
[31][32]
Ray McGuire (cropped).jpg
Raymond McGuire
Former Citigroup executive October 15, 2020
Ray McGuire for Mayor logo.png
(Website)
[33][34]
3x4.svg
Dianne Morales
Former social services nonprofit CEO
Former teacher
November 19, 2020
Dianne Morales for Mayor logo.png
(Website)
[35][36]
Scott Stringer 2015.jpg
Scott Stringer
NYC Comptroller (2014–present)
Former Manhattan Borough President (2006–2013)
Former NY State Assemblymember for the 67th district (1993–2005)
September 8, 2020
Scott Stringer for Mayor logo.png
(Website)
[37][38][39]
Maya Wiley 2 (cropped).jpg
Maya Wiley
The New School professor
Former chair of the NYC Civilian Complaint Review Board (2016–2017)
Former counsel to Bill de Blasio
Former ACLU and NAACP Legal Defense Fund attorney
October 8, 2020
(Website)
[40]
Andrew Yang by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Andrew Yang
Candidate for President of the United States in 2020
Former Presidential Ambassador for Global Entrepreneurship (2015–2017)
Founder of Venture for America
January 13, 2021
Andrew Yang for Mayor logo.svg
(Website)
[41][42][43][44]

Other candidates qualifying for the ballot[edit]

Write-in candidates who did not qualify for ballot access[edit]

Withdrawn candidates[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Eric Adams
US Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Shaun Donovan
US Senators
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Kathryn Garcia
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Raymond McGuire
US Representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Dianne Morales
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Notes
  1. ^ Withdrawn after allegations against Morales's campaign surfaced
  2. ^ Previously second choice to Stringer, then first choice after allegations of sexual assault against Stringer surfaced, then withdrawn after allegations against Morales's campaign surfaced
  3. ^ Previously co-endorsed with Stringer, changed to sole endorsement after allegations of sexual assault against Stringer surfaced, then withdrawn after allegations against Morales's campaign surfaced
  4. ^ Previously second choice to Stringer, changed to co-endorsement with Wiley after allegations of sexual assault against Stringer surfaced, then withdrawn after allegations against Morales's campaign surfaced
Scott Stringer
US Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Notes
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v Withdrawn after sexual assault allegations against Stringer surfaced
  2. ^ Previously second choice, withdrawn after sexual assault allegations against Stringer surfaced
  3. ^ Previously co-endorsed with Morales, withdrawn after sexual assault allegations against Stringer surfaced
Loree Sutton (withdrew)
Individuals
Maya Wiley
US Senators
US Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Isaac Wright Jr.
Individuals
Andrew Yang
US Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers and other media

Opinion polling[edit]

Graphical summary (first-past-the-post polls)[edit]

Among those supporting a candidate

Ranked-choice polls[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[A]
Margin
of error
RCV
count
Eric Adams
Shaun Donovan
Kathryn Garcia
Raymond McGuire
Dianne Morales
Scott Stringer
Maya Wiley
Andrew Yang
Others Undecided
Emerson College[B] Jun 15–16, 2021 664 (LV) ± 3.7% BA[C] 23% 2% 17% 3% 2% 9% 18% 14%
1%
Chang: 1%
Foldenauer: 0%
Prince: 0%
Taylor: 0%
Wright: 0%
10%
2 26% 3% 19% 4% 2% 10% 20% 15%
1%
Chang: 1%
Prince: 0%
3 26% 3% 19% 4% 2% 10% 20% 15%
1%
Chang: 1%
4 26% 3% 20% 4% 2% 10% 21% 15%
5 26% 3% 20% 4% 10% 22% 15%
6 27% 21% 5% 10% 22% 15%
7 29% 21% 11% 22% 17%
8 32% 25% 26% 18%
9 41% 30% 29%
10 52% 48%
Change Research (D)[D] Jun 11–14, 2021 822 (LV) ± 3.4% BA[C] 23% 4% 19% 3% 1% 8% 19% 12%
0%
Chang: 0%
Foldenauer: 0%
Prince: 0%
Taylor: 0%
Wright: 0%
10%
2 26% 4% 22% 3% 2% 9% 21% 13%
1%
Wright: 1%
Chang: 0%
Prince: 0%
3 26% 4% 22% 3% 2% 9% 21% 13%
1%
Wright: 1%
Chang: 0%
4 26% 4% 22% 3% 2% 9% 21% 13%
1%
Wright: 1%
5 26% 5% 22% 3% 2% 9% 21% 13%
6 26% 5% 22% 3% 9% 22% 13%
7 27% 5% 22% 10% 23% 14%
8 28% 23% 10% 23% 16%
9 30% 27% 26% 17%
10 37% 33% 30%
11 49% 51%
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[E] Jun 10–13, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% BA[C] 22% 6% 14% 4% 4% 9% 16% 18% 0% 7%
1 24% 7% 15% 5% 4% 9% 17% 19%
2 24% 7% 16% 5% 10% 18% 20%
3 24% 8% 17% 10% 19% 22%
4 26% 18% 11% 21% 24%
5 31% 20% 23% 26%
6 40% 28% 32%
7 55% 45%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[F] Jun 9–13, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% BA[C] 21% 4% 20% 2% 2% 8% 18% 13%
2%
Chang: 1%
Taylor: 1%
Prince: <1%
Foldenauer: 0%
Wright: 0%
9%
1 24% 4% 22% 2% 2% 9% 20% 14%
3%
Chang: 1%
Prince: 1%
Taylor: 1%
Foldenauer: 0%
Wright: 0%
2 24% 4% 22% 2% 2% 9% 20% 14%
3%
Chang: 1%
Prince: 1%
Taylor: 1%
Foldenauer: 0%
3 24% 4% 22% 2% 2% 9% 20% 14%
2%
Chang: 1%
Taylor: 1%
4 24% 4% 22% 2% 3% 9% 20% 14%
1%
Chang: 1%
5 25% 4% 22% 2% 3% 9% 21% 14%
6 25% 4% 22% 3% 9% 21% 15%
7 26% 4% 23% 9% 22% 15%
8 27% 25% 10% 23% 15%
9 29% 28% 25% 17%
10 38% 33% 29%
11 48% 52%
Honan Strategy Group (D)[G] May 26 – Jun 10, 2021 950 (LV) ± 3.2% BA[C] 28% 9% 13% 1% 1% 6% 7% 19% 16%
1 33% 11% 15% 1% 1% 7% 9% 23%
2 33% 11% 16% 1% 7% 9% 23%
3 34% 11% 16% 7% 9% 23%
4 35% 12% 17% 11% 25%
5 39% 13% 19% 29%
6 44% 24% 33%
7 56% 44%
Marist College[H] Jun 3–9, 2021 876 (LV) ± 3.8% BA[C] 24% 3% 17% 3% 3% 7% 15% 13%
2%
Chang: 1%
Prince: 1%
Foldenauer: <1%
Taylor: <1%
Wright: <1%
13%
1 28% 3% 19% 4% 4% 8% 17% 15%
2%
Chang: 1%
Prince: 1%
Foldenauer: <1%
Taylor: <1%
Wright: <1%
2 28% 3% 19% 4% 4% 8% 17% 15%
2%
Chang: 1%
Prince: 1%
Taylor: <1%
Wright: <1%
3 28% 3% 19% 4% 4% 8% 17% 15%
2%
Chang: 1%
Prince: 1%
Taylor: <1%
4 28% 3% 19% 4% 4% 8% 17% 15%
2%
Chang: 1%
Prince: 1%
5 28% 3% 20% 4% 4% 8% 17% 15%
1%
Prince: 1%
6 28% 4% 20% 4% 4% 8% 17% 15%
7 29% 20% 4% 5% 9% 17% 16%
8 30% 21% 5% 9% 18% 17%
9 31% 22% 9% 20% 17%
10 34% 24% 22% 19%
11 43% 30% 27%
12 56% 44%
Emerson College[B] Jun 7–8, 2021 725 (LV) ± 3.6% BA[C] 23% 4% 12% 3% 2% 9% 17% 15%
4%
Taylor: 2%
Chang: 1%
Prince: 1%
Foldenauer: 0%
Wright: 0%
12%
2 26% 4% 14% 3% 2% 11% 19% 17%
5%
Taylor: 2%
Chang: 2%
Prince: 1%
3 26% 5% 14% 4% 2% 11% 19% 17%
4%
Taylor: 2%
Chang: 2%
4 26% 5% 14% 4% 3% 11% 19% 18%
2%
Taylor: 2%
5 26% 5% 14% 4% 3% 11% 19% 19%
6 26% 5% 14% 4% 11% 21% 19%
7 28% 5% 15% 11% 21% 20%
8 29% 15% 12% 22% 22%
9 33% 19% 26% 23%
10 40% 33% 27%
11 59% 41%
Ipsos[I] May 17–31, 2021 906 (LV) ± 4.5% BA[C] 24% 4% 13% 5% 5% 10% 10% 17% 11%
1 27% 5% 15% 5% 6% 11% 12% 19%
2 28% 16% 5% 6% 12% 12% 20%
3 30% 17% 7% 13% 13% 20%
4 32% 18% 14% 16% 21%
5 37% 22% 19% 23%
6 42% 29% 28%
7 60% 40%
7[J] 58% 42%
Emerson College[B] May 23–24, 2021 570 (LV) ± 4.1% BA[C] 20% 5% 21% 2% 7% 10% 9% 16%
2%
Foldenauer: 1%
Prince: 1%
Chang: 0%
Taylor: 0%
Wright: 0%
9%
2 22% 6% 23% 2% 8% 10% 9% 17%
2%
Foldenauer: 1%
Prince: 1%
Chang: 0%
3 22% 6% 23% 2% 8% 10% 9% 17%
2%
Foldenauer: 1%
Prince: 1%
4 22% 6% 23% 2% 8% 11% 10% 17%
1%
Foldenauer: 1%
5 22% 6% 23% 2% 8% 12% 10% 17%
6 24% 6% 24% 8% 12% 10% 17%
7 25% 26% 8% 12% 10% 19%
8 25% 27% 13% 15% 19%
9 28% 31% 20% 22%
10 34% 40% 26%
11 45% 55%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K] May 17–20, 2021 749 (LV) ± 3.6% BA[C] 16% 4% 10% 5% 7% 13% 8% 19%
7%
Foldenauer: 4%
Chang: 2%
Prince: 1%
Taylor: 0%
Wright: 0%
"Other": 0%
13%
1 18% 5% 11% 5% 8% 15% 9% 21%
8%
Foldenauer: 5%
Chang: 2%
Prince: 1%
Taylor: 0%
Wright: 0%
"Other": 0%
2 18% 5% 11% 5% 8% 15% 9% 21%
8%
Foldenauer: 5%
Chang: 2%
Prince: 1%
Taylor: 0%
3 18% 5% 11% 5% 8% 15% 9% 21%
8%
Foldenauer: 5%
Chang: 2%
Prince: 1%
4 18% 5% 11% 5% 8% 15% 9% 21%
7%
Foldenauer: 5%
Chang: 2%
5 19% 5% 12% 6% 8% 15% 10% 22%
5%
Foldenauer: 5%
6 19% 5% 12% 7% 9% 16% 11% 22%
7 20% 13% 8% 9% 16% 11% 23%
8 21% 14% 9% 19% 13% 24%
9 22% 14% 22% 17% 25%
10 25% 25% 21% 29%
11 33% 31% 36%
12 49% 51%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[F] May 14–17, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% BA[C] 18% 4% 11% 6% 6% 8% 10% 19%
2%
Prince: 1%
Wright: 1%
Chang: 0%
Foldenauer: 0%
Taylor: 0%
14%
1 21% 5% 13% 7% 7% 10% 11% 22%
2%
Prince: 1%
Wright: 1%
Chang: 0%
Taylor: 0%
2 21% 5% 13% 7% 7% 10% 11% 22%
2%
Prince: 1%
Wright: 1%
Taylor: 0%
3 21% 5% 13% 7% 7% 10% 11% 23%
2%
Prince: 1%
Wright: 1%
4 21% 5% 13% 8% 7% 10% 11% 23%
1%
Prince: 1%
5 21% 5% 13% 8% 7% 10% 12% 23%
6 23% 13% 9% 8% 11% 13% 24%
7 24% 15% 10% 11% 16% 24%
8 27% 16% 12% 18% 26%
9 30% 20% 21% 29%
10 36% 30% 34%
11 52% 48%
Emerson College[B] May 13–15, 2021 631 (LV) ± 3.8% BA[C] 18% 5% 8% 4% 6% 15% 4% 15%
3%
Chang: 2%
Taylor: 1%
Foldenauer: 0%
Prince: 0%
Wright: 0%
23%
2 23% 7% 10% 5% 7% 20% 5% 20%
3%
Chang: 2%
Taylor: 1%
3 23% 7% 11% 5% 7% 20% 5% 20%
3%
Chang: 3%
4 23% 7% 11% 5% 7% 20% 5% 22%
5 24% 7% 13% 6% 8% 20% 23%
6 26% 9% 13% 9% 20% 23%
7 27% 9% 18% 22% 24%
8 29% 21% 24% 26%
9 36% 31% 33%
10 53% 47%
Change Research (D) May 11–12, 2021 418 (LV) ± 4.8% BA[C] 21% 6% 11% 6% 5% 8% 6% 18%
2%
"Would not vote": 1%
Wright: 1%
Chang: 0%
Prince: 0%
Taylor: 0%
18%
2 26% 7% 14% 7% 6% 10% 7% 22%
1%
Wright: 1%
Chang: 0%
3 26% 7% 14% 8% 6% 10% 7% 22%
1%
Wright: 1%
4 26% 7% 14% 8% 6% 10% 8% 22%
5 26% 7% 16% 8% 11% 10% 23%
6 27% 17% 9% 12% 11% 25%
7 28% 18% 14% 11% 28%
8 31% 21% 17% 31%
9 37% 26% 37%
10 50% 50%
Change Research (D) May 6–12, 2021 1,422 (LV) ± 2.6% BA[C] 19% 7% 7% 7% 5% 9% 7% 16%
2%
"Would not vote": 1%
Wright: 1%
Chang: 0%
Prince: 0%
Taylor: 0%
20%
2 24% 9% 8% 9% 6% 11% 9% 21%
1%
Wright: 1%
Prince: 0%
3 24% 9% 9% 9% 7% 11% 9% 21%
1%
Wright: 1%
4 25% 9% 9% 9% 7% 11% 10% 21%
5 26% 9% 9% 9% 12% 13% 22%
6 27% 11% 11% 14% 13% 24%
7 30% 12% 15% 15% 28%
8 34% 18% 18% 31%
9 41% 23% 37%
10 53% 47%
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[L] May 4–9, 2021 1,003 (LV) ± 3.1% BA[C] 17% 6% 8% 6% 4% 10% 10% 21% 1% 17%
1 21% 7% 9% 8% 5% 12% 12% 26%
2 22% 7% 10% 9% 13% 13% 26%
3 23% 10% 10% 15% 14% 28%
4 25% 12% 17% 16% 30%
5 28% 19% 20% 33%
6 36% 24% 40%
7 47% 53%
Mercury Public Affairs (D)[M] Apr 26 – May 1, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% BA[C] 14% 6% 4% 6% 3% 14% 6% 21% 26%
1 15% 8% 5% 6% 5% 18% 8% 35%
2 15% 8% 5% 6% 19% 11% 36%
3 15% 8% 7% 20% 12% 36%
4 17% 9% 21% 13% 40%
5 19% 24% 14% 43%
6 23% 28% 48%
7 39% 61%
Benenson Strategy Group (D)[N] Apr 16–21, 2021 1,558 (LV) ± 2.5% BA[C] 17% 7% 5% 8% 7% 11% 8% 22% 1% 14%
1 20% 8% 6% 9% 8% 12% 10% 26%
2 21% 8% 10% 9% 14% 11% 27%
3 22% 11% 10% 16% 12% 30%
4 23% 12% 18% 15% 32%
5 27% 20% 18% 36%
6 31% 26% 43%
7 44% 56%
Ipsos[I] Apr 1–15, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 4.7% BA[C] 13% 5% 5% 6% 5% 14% 8% 23% 21%
1 17% 6% 6% 7% 7% 17% 10% 29%
2 18% 7% 7% 8% 19% 11% 30%
3 18% 9% 8% 21% 12% 32%
4 20% 10% 22% 15% 34%
5 23% 25% 16% 36%
6 27% 30% 43%
7 43% 57%
Data for Progress (D) Mar 21 – Apr 5, 2021 1,007 (LV) ± 3.0% BA[C] 13% 7% 4% 6% 3% 11% 10% 26%
5%
"A different candidate": 4%
Menchaca: 1%
14%
8 41% 59%
8[O] 27% 73%
8[P] 39% 61%
8[Q] 32% 68%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K] Mar 12–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% BA[C] 15% 4% 6% 5% 3% 12% 7% 25%
3%
Menchaca: 2%
"Other": 1%
20%
1 18% 5% 8% 6% 3% 15% 9% 31%
4%
Menchaca: 3%
"Other": 1%
2 18% 5% 8% 6% 3% 15% 9% 31%
3%
Menchaca: 3%
3 18% 6% 9% 6% 4% 16% 10% 32%
4 19% 6% 10% 6% 16% 11% 32%
5 20% 10% 7% 18% 11% 33%
6 22% 11% 19% 12% 35%
7 24% 22% 15% 39%
8 28% 26% 46%
9 41% 59%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K] Jan 15–19, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% BA[C] 17% 1% 1% 1% 1% 12% 8% 25%
1%
"Other": 1%
Iscol: <1%
Menchaca: <1%
Sutton: <1%
32%
1 26% 1% 2% 2% 2% 18% 11% 37%
2%
Sutton: 1%
"Other": 1%
Iscol: <1%
Menchaca: <1%
2 26% 1% 2% 2% 2% 19% 11% 37%
1%
Sutton: 1%
Iscol: <1%
Menchaca: <1%
3 26% 1% 2% 2% 2% 19% 11% 37%
1%
Sutton: 1%
Menchaca: <1%
4 26% 1% 2% 2% 2% 19% 11% 37%
1%
Sutton: 1%
5 26% 1% 2% 2% 2% 19% 12% 37%
6 26% 2% 2% 2% 19% 12% 37%
7 26% 2% 2% 20% 12% 38%
8 27% 3% 20% 12% 39%
9 27% 20% 13% 39%
10 30% 24% 46%
11 39% 61%
Slingshot Strategies (D) Nov 30 –
Dec 6, 2020
1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% BA[C] 11% 2% 3% 2% 2% 11% 7% 17%
20%
Quinn: 7%
Rose: 5%
Menchaca: 3%
Iscol: 2%
Sutton: 2%
"Other": 1%
25%
1 15% 3% 4% 3% 2% 15% 9% 23%
25%
Quinn: 10%
Rose: 6%
Menchaca: 3%
Iscol: 2%
Sutton: 2%
"Other": 2%
2 15% 3% 5% 3% 2% 15% 9% 23%
26%
Quinn: 10%
Rose: 7%
Menchaca: 4%
Iscol: 3%
Sutton: 2%
3 16% 3% 5% 3% 3% 15% 9% 23%
24%
Quinn: 10%
Rose: 7%
Menchaca: 4%
Iscol: 3%
4 16% 3% 5% 3% 15% 9% 24%
24%
Quinn: 10%
Rose: 7%
Menchaca: 4%
Iscol: 3%
5 16% 3% 6% 3% 15% 9% 24%
22%
Quinn: 11%
Rose: 7%
Menchaca: 4%
6 16% 6% 4% 16% 10% 24%
24%
Quinn: 11%
Rose: 8%
Menchaca: 5%
7 17% 6% 17% 10% 25%
25%
Quinn: 11%
Rose: 9%
Menchaca: 5%
8 18% 7% 18% 11% 26%
21%
Quinn: 12%
Rose: 9%
9 19% 18% 12% 27%
23%
Quinn: 13%
Rose: 10%
10 21% 21% 14% 29%
14%
Quinn: 14%
11 26% 24% 33%
17%
Quinn: 17%
12 30% 29% 41%
13 42% 58%

First-past-the-post polls[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[A]
Margin
of error
Eric Adams
Shaun Donovan
Kathryn Garcia
Raymond McGuire
Dianne Morales
Scott Stringer
Maya Wiley
Andrew Yang
Others Undecided
Emerson College[B][a] Jun 15–16, 2021 664 (LV) ± 3.7% 23% 2% 17% 3% 2% 9% 18% 14%
1%
Chang: 1%
Foldenauer: 0%
Prince: 0%
Taylor: 0%
Wright: 0%
10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[R] Jun 10–15, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 21% 3% 16% 2% 3% 7% 17% 10% 1% 21%
Change Research (D)[D][a] Jun 11–14, 2021 822 (LV) ± 3.4% 23% 4% 19% 3% 1% 8% 19% 12%
0%
Chang: 0%
Foldenauer: 0%
Prince: 0%
Taylor: 0%
Wright: 0%
10%
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[E][a] Jun 10–13, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 22% 6% 14% 4% 4% 9% 16% 18% 0% 7%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[F][a] Jun 9–13, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 21% 4% 20% 2% 2% 8% 18% 13%
2%
Chang: 1%
Taylor: 1%
Prince: <1%
Foldenauer: 0%
Wright: 0%
9%
Data for Progress (D) Jun 7–13, 2021 998 (LV) ± 3.0% 26% 2% 14% 4% 3% 8% 20% 16% 3% 4%
Honan Strategy Group (D)[G] May 26 – Jun 10, 2021 950 (LV) ± 3.2% 31% 9% 15% 1% 1% 6% 7% 21% 9%
Marist College[H][a] Jun 3–9, 2021 876 (LV) ± 3.8% 24% 3% 17% 3% 3% 7% 15% 13%
2%
Chang: 1%
Prince: 1%
Foldenauer: <1%
Taylor: <1%
Wright: <1%
13%
Emerson College[B][a] Jun 7–8, 2021 725 (LV) ± 3.6% 23% 4% 12% 3% 2% 9% 17% 15%
4%
Taylor: 2%
Chang: 1%
Prince: 1%
Foldenauer: 0%
Wright: 0%
12%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K][a] Jun 1–6, 2021 1,191 (LV) ± 2.8% 17% 3% 14% 4% 7% 12% 8% 16%
7%
Foldenauer: 4%
Chang: 1%
Prince: 1%
Wright: 1%
Taylor: 0%
"Other": 0%
12%
Media Predict[S] May 27 – Jun 6, 2021 501 (RV) ± 6.0% 20% 4% 15% 1% 5% 8% 7% 19% 20%
Ipsos[I] May 17–31, 2021 906 (LV) ± 4.5% 22% 3% 15% 4% 5% 10% 9% 16% <1% 16%
Emerson College[B][a] May 23–24, 2021 570 (LV) ± 4.1% 20% 5% 21% 2% 7% 10% 9% 16%
2%
Foldenauer: 1%
Prince: 1%
Chang: 0%
Taylor: 0%
Wright: 0%
9%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K][a] May 17–20, 2021 749 (LV) ± 3.6% 16% 4% 10% 5% 7% 13% 8% 19%
7%
Foldenauer: 4%
Chang: 2%
Prince: 1%
Taylor: 0%
Wright: 0%
"Other": 0%
13%
Core Decision Analytics[T] May 15–19, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 18% 4% 11% 4% 9% 7% 9% 13% 1% 26%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[F][a] May 14–17, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 18% 4% 11% 6% 6% 8% 10% 19%
2%
Prince: 1%
Wright: 1%
Chang: 0%
Foldenauer: 0%
Taylor: 0%
14%
Emerson College[B][a] May 13–15, 2021 631 (LV) ± 3.8% 18% 5% 8% 4% 6% 15% 4% 15%
3%
Chang: 2%
Taylor: 1%
Foldenauer: 0%
Prince: 0%
Wright: 0%
23%
Change Research (D)[a] May 11–12, 2021 418 (LV) ± 4.8% 21% 6% 11% 6% 5% 8% 6% 18%
2%
"Would not vote": 1%
Wright: 1%
Chang: 0%
Prince: 0%
Taylor: 0%
18%
Change Research (D)[a] May 6–12, 2021 1,422 (LV) ± 2.6% 19% 7% 7% 7% 5% 9% 7% 16%
2%
"Would not vote": 1%
Wright: 1%
Chang: 0%
Prince: 0%
Taylor: 0%
20%
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[L][a] May 4–9, 2021 1,003 (LV) ± 3.1% 17% 6% 8% 6% 4% 10% 10% 21% 1% 17%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K][a] Apr 20–27 and
May 3–6, 2021
1,393 (LV) ± 2.6% 11% 6% 5% 10% 6% 15% 7% 21%
6%
Foldenauer: 3%
Chang: 1%
Wright: 1%
"Other": 1%
Prince: 0%
13%
275 (LV) ± 5.9% 12% 10% 5% 9% 4% [U] 8% 27%
9%
"Other": 4%
Foldenauer: 3%
Chang: 1%
Prince: 1%
Wright: 0%
15%
Honan Strategy Group (D)[V] Apr 24 – May 2, 2021 1,100 (LV) ± 3.0% 22% 0% 1% 2% 12% 13% 3% 20% 1% 25%
Mercury Public Affairs (D)[M][a] Apr 26 – May 1, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 14% 6% 4% 6% 3% 14% 6% 21% 26%
GQR Research (D)[W] Apr 27–29, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 21% 8% 6% 6% 6% 15% 7% 18% 1% 11%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K][a] Apr 20–27, 2021 824 (LV) ± 3.4% 11% 6% 3% 9% 5% 16% 6% 24%
5%
Foldenauer: 3%
Chang: 1%
"Other": 1%
Prince: 0%
Wright: 0%
14%
Benenson Strategy Group (D)[N][a] Apr 16–21, 2021 1,558 (LV) ± 2.5% 17% 7% 5% 8% 7% 11% 8% 22% 1% 14%
Ipsos[I] Apr 1–15, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 4.7% 13% 6% 4% 6% 5% 11% 7% 22% <1% 26%
Data for Progress (D) Mar 21 – Apr 5, 2021 1,007 (LV) ± 3.0% 13% 7% 4% 6% 3% 11% 10% 26%
5%
"A different candidate": 4%
Menchaca: 1%
14%
Core Decision Analytics[T] Mar 15–18, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 10% 2% 2% 4% 2% 5% 6% 16% 1% 50%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K][a] Mar 12–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 15% 4% 6% 5% 3% 12% 7% 25%
3%
Menchaca: 2%
"Other": 1%
20%
Emerson College[B] Mar 4–6, 2021 644 (LV) ± 3.8% 19% 4% 5% 3% 4% 6% 9% 32%
2%
Chang: 1%
Menchaca: 1%
Foldenauer: 0%
Kavovit: 0%
Sutton: 0%
Taylor: 0%
17%
Media Predict[S] Feb 12–25, 2021 894 (RV) ± 3.3% 11% 2% 4% 2% 3% 9% 6% 27%
2%
Menchaca: 2%
34%
Core Decision Analytics[T] Jan 20–25, 2021 842 (LV) ± 3.4% 17% 8% 2% 2% 2% 13% 8% 28%
1%
Iscol: 1%
19%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K][a] Jan 15–19, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 17% 1% 1% 1% 1% 12% 8% 25%
1%
"Other": 1%
Iscol: <1%
Menchaca: <1%
Sutton: <1%
32%
Public Policy Polling (D)[X] Dec 16–17, 2020 755 (LV) ± 3.6% 16% 4% 5% 5% 7% 17%
6%
Quinn: 6%
40%
Slingshot Strategies (D) Nov 30 – Dec 6, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 14% 2% 3% 2% 2% 11% 7% 20%
17%
Quinn: 7%
Rose: 6%
Menchaca: 2%
Iscol: 1%
Sutton: 1%
"Other": 0%
20%
Data for Progress (D) Jan 13–19, 2020 366 (LV) ± 5.1% 9% 2% 5%
38%
Johnson: 10%
Díaz Jr.: 8%
Liu: 7%
Quinn: 6%
Brewer: 2%
Mark-Viverto: 2%
Taylor: 2%
Foldenauer: 1%
Sutton: 0%
46%
Notes
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t First-choice results from a ranked-choice poll

Head-to-head polls[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[A]
Margin
of error
Eric Adams
Kathryn Garcia
Raymond McGuire
Dianne Morales
Scott Stringer
Maya Wiley
Andrew Yang
Undecided
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K] Jun 1–6, 2021 1,191 (LV) ± 2.8% 44% 42% 15%
41% 45% 14%
36% 46% 18%
32% 51% 17%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K] May 17–20, 2021 749 (LV) ± 3.6% 37% 44% 18%
36% 44% 21%
34% 45% 21%
Honan Strategy Group (D)[V] Apr 24 – May 2, 2021 1,100 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 12% 37%
44% 33% 24%
50% 19% 31%
39% 38% 23%
30% 19% 5% 22% 23%
31% 20% 8% 26% 16%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K] Apr 20–27, 2021 824 (LV) ± 3.4% 31% 44% 25%
33% 47% 21%
25% 51% 24%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K] Mar 12–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 33% 47% 20%
27% 52% 21%
20% 54% 26%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[K] Jan 15–19, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 27% 48% 25%
27% 49% 24%
20% 50% 30%
Polling key and sponsors
  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i This poll was sponsored by WPIX and NewsNation
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v Before allocation (including undecided respondents)
  4. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by New Generation of Leadership PAC, which supports Garcia for mayor
  5. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Strong Leadership NYC, Inc., which supports Adams for mayor
  6. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research
  7. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by the NYC-based lobbying group Capalino & Company, which is not working on behalf of any candidates
  8. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by WNBC, WNJU, and Politico
  9. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Spectrum News NY1
  10. ^ Hypothetical scenario with Garcia eliminated instead of Yang after round 6
  11. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n This poll was sponsored by Yang's campaign committee
  12. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by New Yorkers for a Better Future, Inc.
  13. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Future Forward NYC, Inc., which supports Yang for mayor
  14. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by StudentsFirstNY, a pro-charter schools group, which released this poll just before its executive director formed a pro-Adams PAC
  15. ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Donovan and Yang
  16. ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Stringer and Yang
  17. ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Wiley and Yang
  18. ^ This poll was sponsored by the New York Post, whose editorial board endorsed Adams
  19. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Univision 41 Nueva York (WXTV)
  20. ^ a b c This poll was conducted by Core Decision Analytics, which is working with Garcia's campaign, and was sponsored by the NYC-based lobbying group Fontas Advisors, which is not working on behalf of any candidates
  21. ^ Hypothetical scenario excluding Stringer
  22. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Hotel Workers for Stronger Communities, which supports Adams for mayor
  23. ^ This poll was sponsored by Corey Johnson's comptroller campaign committee
  24. ^ This poll was sponsored by Democrats for Education Reform, a pro-charter schools group

Debates[edit]

First debate[edit]

The first debate in the Democratic primary was sponsored by the Brooklyn Democratic Party and held on January 31, 2021. Eight candidates participated: Adams, former director of the US Office of Management and Budget Shaun Donovan, former commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Sanitation Kathryn Garcia, businessman Raymond McGuire, Stringer, Sutton, former counsel to Bill de Blasio Maya Wiley, and Yang.[244] Former non-profit CEO Dianne Morales boycotted the debate following comments perceived as sinophobic by a former Brooklyn Democratic Party official.[245]

Second debate[edit]

The second debate took place on May 13, 2021. It was organized by the New York City Campaign Finance Board (CFB) and sponsored by NY1. Eight candidates met the CFB's qualifications to participate in the debate. Those who participated were Adams, Donovan, Garcia, McGuire, Morales, Stringer, Wiley, and Yang.

Third debate[edit]

The third debate was held on June 2, 2021. It was organized by the CFB and sponsored by ABC 7. Eight candidates met the CFB's qualifications to participate in the debate. Those who participated were Adams, Donovan, Garcia, McGuire, Morales, Stringer, Wiley, and Yang.

Fourth debate[edit]

The fourth debate was held on June 10, 2021, and sponsored by CBS 2. Five candidates participated: Adams, Garcia, Stringer, Wiley, and Yang. Adams initially announced that he would skip the debate but later opted to attend.[246]

Fifth debate[edit]

The fifth and final debate of the Democratic primary took place on June 16, 2021. It was organized by the CFB and was sponsored by NBC 4. Eight candidates met the CFB's qualifications and were required to participate: Adams, Donovan, Garcia, McGuire, Morales, Stringer, Wiley, and Yang.[247]

2021 New York City mayoral election Democratic primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant    A  Absent    N  Non-invitee    I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Eric Adams Shaun Donovan Kathryn Garcia Raymond McGuire Carlos Menchaca Dianne Morales Scott Stringer Loree Sutton Maya Wiley Andrew Yang
1[244] Feb. 1, 2021 Kings County
Democratic Committee
Errol Louis Video P P P P N A[a] P P P P
2 May 13, 2021 John Jay College
of Criminal Justice

NYC Votes
NY1
Brian Lehrer
Errol Louis
Josefa Velasquez
Video P P P P W P P W P P
3 Jun. 2, 2021 ABC 7
League of Women
Voters NYC

NAACP NYS
NYC Votes
Bill Ritter
Dave Evans
Yisel Tejada
Video P P P P W P P W P P
4 Jun. 10, 2021 CBS 2 Maurice DuBois
Marcia Kramer
Video P[b] N P N W N P W P P
5[248] Jun. 16, 2021 NBC 4
Politico
NYC Votes
Sally Goldenberg
Melissa Russo
David Ushery
Allan Villafana
Video P P P P W P P W P P

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Democratic Eric Adams
Democratic Art Chang
Democratic Shaun Donovan
Democratic Aaron Foldenauer
Democratic Kathryn Garcia
Democratic Raymond McGuire
Democratic Dianne Morales
Democratic Paperboy Love Prince
Democratic Scott Stringer
Democratic Joycelyn Taylor
Democratic Maya Wiley
Democratic Isaac Wright Jr.
Democratic Andrew Yang
Exhausted ballots
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Major candidates[edit]

The following candidates appear on the Republican primary ballot and have held office, have been included in polls, or have been the subject of significant media coverage.

Republican primary candidates
Candidate Experience Announced Ref
Fernando Mateo Headshot.jpg
Fernando Mateo
Founder of the New York State Federation of Taxi Drivers February 4, 2021
Mateo-The-Mayor-LOGO-HOR.png
(Website)
[249][250]
Curtis Sliwa mahmood (cropped).jpg
Curtis Sliwa
Founder of the Guardian Angels
Radio talk show host
March 8, 2020
Sliwa for Mayor logo.png
(Website)
[251]

Failed to qualify for ballot access[edit]

  • Abbey Laurel-Smith, businesswoman[55]
  • Adam Oremland, attorney and social media personality[252]
  • Bill Pepitone, retired NYPD officer (running as the candidate for the Conservative Party)[253]
  • Sara Tirschwell, CFO of Foundation House[254]

Withdrawn[edit]

  • Cleopatra Fitzgerald, activist

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Curtis Sliwa
US Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Fernando Mateo

Opinion polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[A]
Margin
of error
Fernando
Mateo
Curtis
Sliwa
Undecided
Emerson College[B] Jun 7–8, 2021 250 (LV) ± 6.2% 27% 33% 40%
Polling key and sponsors
  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by WPIX and NewsNation

Debates[edit]

2021 New York City mayoral election Republican primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant    A  Absent    N  Non-invitee    I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Curtis Sliwa Fernando Mateo
1[268] Mar. 31, 2021 WABC Dominic Carter Video P P
2[262] June 3, 2021 PIX11 Ayana Harry
Dan Mannarino
Henry Rossoff
Video P P

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Republican Fernando Mateo
Republican Curtis Sliwa
Total active votes
Exhausted ballots
Total votes 100.0%

Conservative Party of New York State[edit]

Candidate[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Bill Pepitone, retired NYPD officer

Working Families Party[edit]

Candidate[edit]

Declared[edit]

Libertarian[edit]

Candidate[edit]

Declared[edit]

Independents[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Thomas Downs, activist[271]
  • Vitaly Filipchenko, small business owner[272]
  • Quanda Francis, president of Sykes Capital Management[34]
  • Christopher Krietchman, founder and CEO of Wellvyl and former owner of Fresh Grill Cafe[273]

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Morales was invited to the debate, but decided to boycott it in protest of actions within the Kings County Democratic Committee.[244]
  2. ^ Adams originally declined to participate, but later opted to attend.[246]

References[edit]

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